Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1189.019685 1343.238709 1512.284085 1711.725005 1941.093152 2197.197237 2505.618271
2025-12-14 919.266230 1119.104591 1357.227744 1663.503127 2049.303083 2522.174807 3150.291158
2025-12-21 760.082924 972.637167 1240.535788 1606.052133 2096.507102 2738.540706 3653.624291
2025-12-28 690.711092 921.185434 1225.593392 1662.135088 2280.381976 3137.109836 4436.119964
2026-01-04 627.427576 866.354386 1194.644068 1685.858129 2414.641680 3475.859764 5175.148747
2026-01-11 572.235221 814.408030 1158.859770 1693.940606 2521.360325 3781.104323 5900.870756
2026-01-18 525.817624 768.895529 1125.548488 1698.725315 2619.215634 4079.397465 6652.593749
2026-01-25 495.966897 744.083964 1119.040948 1741.546303 2778.384662 4490.111448 7646.555710
2026-02-01 468.073705 718.977816 1108.611180 1775.301640 2924.244811 4893.746833 8685.666625
2026-02-08 440.740727 691.813313 1091.620397 1795.148428 3046.811004 5269.695862 9728.470329
2026-02-15 416.595439 667.347719 1076.200174 1814.994019 3169.928252 5659.407214 10855.113357
2026-02-22 397.666427 649.636845 1069.977551 1849.386722 3321.911776 6119.544685 12193.192331
2026-03-01 365.670297 607.680696 1019.569801 1800.853699 3316.249809 6282.474545 12954.206588
2026-03-08 336.490394 568.311383 970.416121 1749.818945 3300.102279 6423.002526 13692.574742
2026-03-15 308.891720 529.514008 918.940183 1689.026245 3257.045891 6501.604739 14302.622211
2026-03-22 300.897707 525.128485 929.362107 1748.371161 3464.273025 7133.672628 16315.975087
2026-03-29 288.876484 512.350781 922.974889 1773.478141 3602.404759 7633.654802 18102.137769
2026-04-05 275.742048 496.441516 909.230004 1782.032681 3705.459927 8068.073610 19804.146955
2026-04-12 263.243309 480.769433 894.592151 1787.096977 3801.025835 8497.625581 21576.183513
2026-04-19 256.165212 474.978814 898.816696 1832.424446 3993.125467 9185.025265 24194.838304
2026-04-26 248.469774 467.371603 898.702556 1868.161011 4167.013027 9852.692686 26900.213930
2026-05-03 239.770054 457.109302 892.296263 1889.174868 4308.045651 10457.288965 29550.765089
2026-05-10 231.626834 447.380322 886.193193 1910.189056 4451.541851 11089.673055 32429.644691